Netbook trends as seen at CES
Netbook trends as seen at CES
I finally took time to gather my thoughts about netbooks I saw at the recent Consumer Electronics Show. In summary:
--more manufacturers are entering the netbook arena
--10 inch screen has emerged as the standard
--Netbook technology is also adapted for use as a desktop
--Windows 7 beta works well on netbooks
--The race to deliver sub-$200 netbook begins
--Expensive models are using the netbook form factor, too
--Linux variants show improvements in ease of use
--Netbook manufacturers start to explore larger formats
--Challengers are emerging to Intel dominance
--New communication options
--Prices for current models fall to make room for new models
My detailed comments on each of these subjects follows.
Chip Haven
Netbooks were one of the few bright spots for computer retailers in 2008. So more manufacturers are entering the netbook arena. Look for products to be marketed by retail brands Epson, Archos, BenQ, Viewsonic, Commodore and possibly NEC. OEMs like HiVision, FirstView, Velocity Micro, and First International Computer are looking for retailers to buy their netbook models.
The 10 inch, 1048 x 600 LCD screen has emerging as the standard netbook display. Most new models have this size screen. The companies listed in the paragraph above all sell netbooks with 10 inch screens. The Dell Mini 10 was introduced at the show. HP recently introduced the 2140 and 2150 models with 10 inch screen. Gigabyte has a tablet computer with 10 inch display,
Netbooks with their LCD screen removed make fine desktop system units for simple web browsing and email. The system unit sits on the desk beside a conventional larger LCD, or sometimes they are attached to the back of the monitor, like an iMac, to reduce clutter on the desk. Models announced recently include the MSI NetTop D130, Asus eeeTop and eeeBox. Micro desktop maker Shuttle also has announced a product that uses the innards of a netbook.
Not all netbooks are cheap. Expensive "ultraportable" computers using the netbook form factor are coming soon. Dell announced its Adamo line, and Sony created a sensation with their Vaio P. These models will cost $800 and up, so they are really luxury items, and not in the original spirit of the netbook. But if you've got the cash, indulge yourself.
More manufacturers are offering 3G wireless modems built in to the netbook. Examples include Dell Mini 9, Mini 10, HP 2150, Asus eee 1003HG, and MSI Wind U120. Today, Dell is offering the Mini 9 with 3G modem, and Radio Shack is selling an Acer Aspire One with 3G modem. Either costs $99 when you sign up for a two year data contract with ATT.
Another interesting development for netbooks is a digital TV tuner in a USB module that looks like a flash memory thumb drive. Plug in and watch free over-the-air broadcasts on your netbook. Dell is offering a TV tuner for its Mini line. Hauppage and AverMedia are other companies with similar products. It should be noted that these tuners wold work for any PC with a USB port, not just netbooks.
Windows Vista doesn't work very well for netbooks because of their relatively slow processors, simple graphics, and limited memory. Windows 7 is the successor for Vista, and a beta version is available. Several web sites report that Windows 7 works better than Vista (or Windows XP) on the Asus EEE, Acer Aspire One, and MSI Wind models. It's likely that a version of Windows 7 will be developed specifically for computers with modest performance like netbooks.
Prices for current models have fallen to make room for new models. In the past week I have seen deals like: Asus EEE 900A $230 at Best Buy, Asus 1000HA $310 at Zip Zoom Fly and MSI Wind U100 $345 at J&R. I expect the discounts to continue this Spring.
Sometimes a lower price doesn't make a deal better. For example, HP has released a version of its Mini 1000 that has a smaller 8.9 inch screen and Linux OS so it can sell for about $300. Kind of a bait and switch.
The race to deliver sub-$200 netbook is officially on. A number of Taiwan and China manufacturers were at CES, talking up their inexpensive models. You won't see the HiVision, LimePC, Pegatron, Coby, King Yun and Exon Technology names on computers. They will sell to others to distribute. To reach the $199 retail price, most have 9 inch screens and limited disc space.
Linux variants are showing improvements in ease of use. HP has released the Mini 1000 Mi (yes, the "Mini Mi") with a simplified interface for $330. Asus is touting eeeBuntu 8.1. Independent developer Easy Peasy has a version for Asus models, and an Italian group has developed Linux4One, a simplified Ubuntu desktop for Acer Aspire One. An English version of Linux4One wiil be available soon.
Several companies were offering "instant on" features. It takes 45 seconds to start up Windows XP, and about 75 seconds to load Windows Vista on the typical netbook. Linux can be configured to start up faster. The simplified Linux desktop loads in about 10 seconds, and is limited to web browsing, Skype sessions and the like.
A company called DeviceVM produces an instant on Linux desktop called SplashTop. It's used by
the LG X120, Sony Vaio P, and some Lenovo models. Phoenix, the company that writes BIOS software for many computer companies, has an instant-on product called Hyperspace. It can install on any nebook, but the license is a steep $40 per year.
After introducing 9 inch and 10 inch netbooks, several manufacturers are exploring larger screen formats. The Dell Mini 12 was first. Samsung will shortly the NC20 (12 inch 1280 x 800 display). Asus announced the S121 (12.2 inch display). HP will offer a screen upgrade for the 2140 (10.1 inch 1366 x 768 pixel display). And HP is rumored to have a model with a 13 inch display in the works.
The overwhelming majority of netbooks use Intel N270 processor. The next year will see challenges to Intel's dominance. VIA has a new processor named Nano, which is faster and uses less power than previous VIA models. AMD has a processor named AMD Neo which is aimed one step above netbooks. The widely acclaimed new HP Pavilion DV2 notebook uses the Neo.
Along with Intel processors, most netbooks use Intel's 945GSE chipset, which includes graphics support. The 945GSE uses too much battery power, and does not handle display of high definition movies very well. Graphics design firm nVidia has announced a new graphics chip just for netbooks. The new nVidia chip will extend battery life, and increase the speed of display for HD material.
Intel will be difficult to catch, however, because they have new processors in the pipeline. By mid-2009, the standard netbook processor will be the Atom N280, which is a little faster than the N270 used today. The big improvement will come from the use of the Intel GN40 chipset. Like nVidia's product, the GN40 will reduce power and increase graphics performance.
For 2009, several companies are preparing computer tablet designs. Tablets have the basic netbook hardware, supplemented by a rotating LCD that is sensitive to touch. The screen can be rotated and laid down on the keyboard, making a package that's easier to use when on the move. Some touchscreen models include the Viliv S7, an inexpensive design about the size of Sony's new Viao P, the ASUS EEE T91, the CTL 2Go PC, and the Gigabyte M912X. The $800 M912X is intriguing because its 8.9 in screen has higher resolution: 1280 x 768 pixels.