Kaisen
Explorer
Agree with you. I don't see the Tacoma getting smaller, as its' HiLux counter-part is darn near the same size and shares components, since the foreign market's "Utes" are getting bigger, highly unlikely that the Tacoma will shrink. If anything we might see a Uni-Bodied small truck under the Scion badge.
The cost of the Tacoma as gotten out of line, you're right, might as well buy a 1/2 ton truck when buying new.
The HiLux is an anomaly to the US market because Toyota doesn't have a full size truck in many of the markets the HiLux services. The US-built Tundra is largely a North-American-only truck, although the find their way to some other continents.
So the HiLux needs to serve whatever pickup/ute duty those markets require. Where here we have the Tacoma (supposed to be small) and Tundra (obviously large).
I really think the US is ready for a small truck. Whether it be unibody, FWD-based, or whatever.
What is the sweet spot in separation from a small truck to a half ton?
5 mpg?
$5,000?
5 feet in length?