Frank
Explorer
I would be very skeptical of any manufacturers MPG numbers. I presume they are probably achieved by testing an unladen vehicle using the smallest, lightest tires they can legally use. Slap a set of decent AT tires on there and you'll probably see a pretty noticeable decrease.
Ironically, I do a lot of testing and work with tires for a living. MPG'S are calculated on a rolling average over a small course and vehicles are tested in factory form and at full tread depth. Otherwise, yes, manufactures would skew them pretty bad. For the most part, I find most factory MPG's are either on par or actually under rated, when compared to whats recorded on sites like fuelly.
And of course, once loaded down, ARB bumper and roof rack installed, aggressive all terrain tires added, MPG's go down. Bust just as you stated, Or to put it into expo terms "How do you get 20 MPG out of an ExPo vehicle? Start with one that gets 30mpg." I think one could net close to 20-25 with offerings available today, within reason.