calicamper
Expedition Leader
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As I said in another thread, I'd guess that mid sized BOF trucks will disappear along with mid-sized BOF SUVs.
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The reason I see no future for compact trucks is because auto manufacturers seem to be devoting their energies to squeezing more MPGs out of full size trucks. Once you've gotten 20-29 MPG (so they say - color me skeptical) out of the likes of an F-150 or a RAM, where is the justification for a 25mpg compact? Where does it fit into the market?
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The only way to make a "compact" truck viable in the market is to either make it super cheap (which cannibalizes sales from your more expensive line of full size trucks) or give it really good MPG - like on the order of 35-45 MPG. And with current technology, it's virtually impossible to do that with a BOF, inline engine design like the Tacoma.
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No, the only way to keep the "mid sized" segment viable is to replace the current crop of BOF trucks with car-based unibody "trucklets" similar to the Dodge Rampage, VW Rabbit Pickup or Subaru Baja. The problem there should be obvious: All three of those attempts were miserable failures, sales-wise. (it should be pointed out that all three were also sold at a time when there was a thriving mid-sized pickup market, so it's possible that with mid-sized pickups gone, the "compact car-pickup" might gain traction.)
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Interestingly, there's one non-failure among the car-based-unibody truck platforms: The Honda Ridgeline. Not that the Ridgeline is burning up the sales floors, but it is apparently selling well enough that Honda has signed up for a refreshed generation. Honda is a shrewd company and they wouldn't do that if they thought it was likely to be a sales flop.
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So, to the extent that the "mid sized pickup" does survive, it will be the same way that the "mid sized SUV" survives, i.e. by ditching its BOF design in favor of a car-based FWD unibody platform.
I would agree except I live in CA one of the biggest auto markets in the US and to be honest I can't own a full size its too big. I bought a 93 Land Cruiser because it fit in the same spot my Subaru fit. Today I have a 07 Sequoia and its too big for several of the places I need to go. I borrowed a friends long bed 4dr tacoma a while back the length of that thing made where I had to go nearly a show stopper. When I do work on my Rental I take our VW Jetta or my Subaru and come home with the cars so packed full of stuff inside and out you'd think I would buy a truck in a heart beat except I wouldn't be able to park it within a full block of my rental defeating the purpose of even trying to take the truck to use it as a truck. Vs the cars I park right out front. I miss the land cruiser short length and hauling ability for sure but it just didn't work well for the family hauling duty which is why we replaced it with the Sequoia.
I grew up with full sized trucks and I can honestly say it would stay parked 99% of the time because it just is too large to use around here. Hell gramps had a mint condition 3 row suburban he would have given to us when we moved him back to CA from MI. Today he drives a cherry SLK350 given he couldn't even drive his Suburban to his doctors appointments given there was no where he could park, he was borrowing our Land Cruiser and our subaru to go to his doctors appointments. LOL