maybe its a symbol of why im finally in the market.
im looking to buy, because they reached a point in technology where quality has caught up with technical, and they have eclipsed the needs of 99% of shooters, pro or not. from what i can see, a high quality 16mp is all thats needed with the current quality cameras, and software.
if i actually am right, then i can see where lots of people are going to cease flipping every year and stay put for 5+years. they have what they need, and cant justify a 1000 dollar hit for no perceptible IQ improvement.
as a result, the camera sales cycle is now going to mirror what it was from the 70's to the 80's, when people bought SLR's as keepers, and all these companies are going to have a glut capacity. that unused capacity will slaughter profits.
the upside will be models getting cleared this year at cost.
the downside will be technical stagnation, when the companies kill r&d and try to reorganize before death.
since ive been sucking up all the info i can on cameras lately, ive noticed FuJis reluctance to put out an xpro2. they have been saying, and people have been buying the story, that they will not release until they make a technological leap... personally im not buying it. its 2 years, the product is due. you dont interrupt the cycle like that. i looked at japan sales and they arnt anywhere to be seen in the top 20. i dont think they have the cash. i think they are hunkering down. fujinon may **** the bed too, which is a shame, because when looking hard, they really do have a top notch product and top notch customer support. i have found myself pulling for fuji on my sheet, looking for reasons to bypass olys well designed em1 in favor of the xe2. the fuji look is sweet and the lenses rock. the aps-c is probably the sweet spot for sensor size attributes, not 4/3.
i wonder if oly and sony are in the best long position right now. below commercial medium format the future seems to be mirror less, and cannon and nikon have pulled a US automakers move, and stuck with the old body on frame, carburated v8 DSLRs. (but man, that Df is one sexy babe)