Been thinking more on this ...
... not only the 2035 end of ICE sales but also the Net Zero by 2050 - meaning decarbonizing transportation.
If one believes this action won't be kicked down the road yet again, or even imagines, as I do, that events will force it - and maybe sooner, then does that play into your purchasing desicion for this vehicle ?
For me I don't foresee an ideal, fullsome use for 10 or 15 years. Rather, it might be something I'd like to keep, and be able to use, for much longer - much like some neighbourhood cars from the '60s and '70's. Also would want it to last because of the high purchase cost.
I ask here because the Grenadier is new, a niche vehicle and it looks to be designed for a robust and long service life.
Any predictions on the practicality of owning and operating one after 20 or 25 years ? Sure, fuel should be available but then again, life got a lot tougher for smokers after the tide turned (expense, restrictions, public disapproval etc).
I guess this is partly dependant on ones age, but does anyone share this concern over buying a Grenadier amid the ongoing transition away from gas and diesel fuel ?
I work in the energy industry, and, for whatever it is worth, I think the goals of no ICE sales by 2035 and net zero by 2050 are, unfortunately, aspirational. Fact of the matter is that presently we have nowhere near the production of minerals required to meet the needs of battery makers to end production of ICE vehicles by 2035, and it's not even close. I hear a lot of arguments about recycling, which will be necessary in the future, but you still have to complete the initial buildout. Cars last for 10-20 years, so it's not like we can recycle batteries from one car today to make 10 cars tomorrow.
Pacific Northwest National Lab has an excellent battery research program which I follow. One of their consultants indicated that current supply of materials gets us to maybe 20% ish of the way to no ICE cars by 2035. Automakers are already running out of batteries and cannot make electric cars not because they don't sell, but because they can't get batteries. The expectation is that hybrids will be around for a long time to come simply because there's no way to meet the staggering material demand.
Assuming that we could meet those demands, we then have to more than double the electrical transmission infrastructure to facilitate car charging in remote locations plus an increase in renewables which drives further demand for battery energy storage from a grid perspective. The fundamental physics indicate that we are moving from energy dense sources (fossil fuels) to energy sources which are not nearly as energy dense such as batteries, wind, solar, etc. This means we have to mine way more material, run way more wiring, more transmission towers, and have heavier vehicles for the same range. That means just to get to the energy demand of today (never mind tomorrow) we need WAY more infrastructure, and it took us over 100 years to build what we have. To say that we can more than double that infrastructure in 15-30 years when it has become far more difficult to permit and acquire right of ways to build that infrastructure, there's already a craft labor shortage to maintain the infrastructure that we currently have, and that everyone will accept the requisite higher costs is a fairly unlikely scenario under such a short timeframe.
If we buy Grenadiers and can't find fuel in 20 years for them I'll be shocked, but maybe it also means that we did a much better job addressing energy needs and environmental challenges than I thought we would. In which case, I'd be more than happy that I overpaid somewhat for my Grenadier or didn't get quite 20 years of full-time service out of it. Remember, fossil fuels still provide about 85% of our primary global energy. Replacing that 85% with something else that is less energy dense, by laws of physics, will not be easy nor as fast as many of us would like.
This is all from my perspective as an actual engineer with actual project experience and not a political statement one way or the other since politics ruins everything.
If you want a Grenadier and can afford it, go for it. It will be one of millions upon millions of ICE vehicles built per year through the 2020s and into the 2030s.
For me personally, if they make a 7 seat Grenadier in a few years, I'll buy one. For day to day, our family will use an EV when they make a reasonably affordable and practical 7 seater EV and the Grenadier on remote trips.