Hi
safas,
Ok, sure: around November or December of this year.
Remember, I'm just one person, occasionally assisted by friends, trying to think through a fairly radical "concept vehicle", more or less for fun. Simply because the design issues that the TerraLiner forces me to think through are tremendously interesting.
I can go forwards only at a certain pace, and sometimes having to respond to the preconceptions and rigid thinking of some thread participants, consumes more time than it's worth. Not everyone is as enthusiastically constructive as you,
safas! Like Joe, you've been a tremendous help and inspiration. But at times I've found myself getting sucked into debates with other particupants, debates that in hindsight were not very productive. A balance needs to be struck between maintaining the thread, and researching, thinking, and designing on my own.
Furthermore, in terms of the overall time-line, there is really no rush. Why? Well, because one of the central elements in the project, massive commercially available solar power that would give the TerraLiner extreme boondocking and off-grid capability, has shown itself to improve year-on-year only in an incremental, linear way. The progress in solar cell efficiency per square meter has not increased exponentially, as per the processing power of computer chips. Rather, what has dropped logarithmically is the price of solar cells per kW, instead of their efficiency.
This has been great for homeowners, who have the roof surface area necessary to install a big spread of panels, now that they are more affordable. But in vehicular applications surface area has always been limited, so more of an improvement in efficiency over the last 40 years would have been desirable. Unfortunately, a dramatically improving, exponential efficiency curve hasn't happened yet, which is why most solar racers still look like Ping-Pong tables. And why even if the TerraLiner were a real vehicle built in 2020, it would still need a powerful diesel generator and large battery bank. Solar alone, even with coverage as broad as possible via drop-down pergola awnings, just won't provide enough power, especially if the TerraLiner has subsantial A/C.
Indeed, given the historically very slow pace of efficiency improvements in commercially available solar cells (i.e. not gallium arsenide), I figure that there will be not much difference figuring out the solar side of things in 2025, versus 2016. Other technologies are likely to improve much faster, for instance batteries and electric motors (thanks to Tesla), or comparatively lightweight high-output diesel generators (thanks to Whisperpower). But even there, the changes will only be incremental, not revolutionary.
So my perspective is now that the "engineering constraints" on TerraLiner design are fairly clear, and what's possible from an engineering point of view won't be that different in 2025. Although this might be very depressing for an engineer to read or accept, as a designer it's kind of nice, because one can mull over all the design aspects in a leisurely way, not too worried that a big engineering breakthrough will suddenly change the goalposts. It just won't, not for at least 10 years, if history is anything to go by.
Ergo, it seemed an opportune moment to focus on TerraLiner exterior design for Vavilovian mimicry. But that's really something I want to first develop on my own.....
All best wishes,
Biotect