biotect
Designer
..
Hi Joe,
I think Ian just recently revised his power estimate down to 248 KW. It would also be interesting to hear from Haf-E or egn, what their estimates might be, given the current TerraLiner specifications.
The only really useful calculation, would be what kind of battery bank would be necessary to serve as a "buffer" in fully serial hybrid mode. The TerraLiner is not intended as an all-electric vehicle, and it does not need to have an extended all-eletcric range. It only needs to be able to drive all-elecrtric for an hour or two at best, and perhaps even less than an hour?. The TerraLiner only needs the battery bank merely to act as a kind of "power reserve" when climbing inclines.
So right off the bat I would say that if 2 hours at 450 KW means an 11.6 ton battery bank, then 248 KW for 1 hour means a 3.1 ton battery bank. If 1 hour is enough, then that's what I'd go for. And if 30 minutes were enough, then I'd go for that instead. Furthermore, I'd want to investigate whether even lighter and more advanced Lith-Ion batteries are available.
I appreciate the value of purely theoretical exercises, but they can also have a rhetorical impact that leads to false conclusions. If someone reads "11 ton battery bank", and they don't realize that you were engaged in an extreme all-electric-for-two-hours sort of hypothetical exercise, they may conclude that thinking through a TerraLiner hybrid drive-train is not worthwhile. I think it is worthwhile, so if possible, it would be great if you might be wiling to run your numbers again for the parameters as stated in the following summary:
With that said, that sure was a really nifty set of calculations!!! It left my head spinning in quantitative bliss, and my heart laughing with auto-geek glee! :wings::wings:
Also: many, many thanks for playing the game of "argument and evidence" so tightly. Your post was packed with links, and all your reasoning was explicit and clear. Your post could serve as an exemplar for what all of the more "technical" or "engineering" posts should be like in this thread. Very, very much appreciated!!
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Now even 3 tons sounds awfully high. I wonder how big the Wrightspeed battery bank is? Or I wonder how much the Proterra battery bank weighs, per KW?
Proterra claims that it has the most efficient battery bank on the market, so it would be interesting to rerun your calculations using Proterra's data as a starting point. See http://www.proterra.com , http://www.proterra.com/product-tech/product-specs/ , http://www.proterra.com/product-tech/product-portfolio/ , http://www.proterra.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Tearsheets_FastCharge.pdf , http://www.proterra.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Tearsheets_ExtendedRange.pdf , http://www.proterra.com/proterra-introduces-extended-range-electric-bus-flexible-battery-system/, https://chargedevs.com/newswire/pro...xr-battery-enables-ranges-of-up-to-180-miles/ , http://www.greencarcongress.com/2015/02/20150224-proterra.html , and http://gas2.org/2015/02/25/proterra-announces-extended-range-electric-bus-180-mile-range/.
Proterra is not very forthcoming with details in any of the above, but if you read the following PDF in particular, you'll see that it states that Proterra's extended range battery pack weighs 770 lbs -- see http://www.proterra.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Tearsheets_CatalystPlatform.pdf . Let's just assume for the sake of argument that Proterra's extended range battery pack, for this weight, will deliver 257 KW, because it's the same battery pack that was tested in the following video. It may not be, but let's just assume that it is:
The video does say that its current fast-charge battery pack delivers 100 KW, and we know from the PDF that the fast-charge battery pack weighs 524 lbs. For further discussion, see post #1918 at http://www.expeditionportal.com/for...igid-Torsion-Free-Frame?p=1959999#post1959999 .
So reasoning very simplistically, if Ian's 248 KW figure were correct, then two such Proterra battery packs should last two hours, and would weigh only 1540 lbs, or roughly 700 kg. Which is a lot less than 11 tons!!
However, here I am also assuming that the PDF, when it lists the weight for a battery pack for given size of bus, is describing the battery weight for a bus with a standard configuration of 8 battery packs. I am assuming that 750 lbs refers to the total weight of 8 packs combined. If instead it refers to the weight of just one battery pack, then 8 battery packs would weigh 6000 pounds, or 2,721 kilos, delivering 257 KW. That would still be better than 3.1 tons for 248 KW, but not that much better. There is some ambiguity in the PDF, and it's difficult to know for certain what is being stated.
In any case, the key when estimating battery pack size and weight for the TerraLiner is not to use the statistics on Lith-Ion batteries that are common, widely available, and that have technology that's 5 years old. Rather, the key is to seek out info about battery pack solutions at the very "cutting edge" of the market, and extrapolate from there. Note that Proterra's 257 KW extended range battery pack is nickel-magnesim, and not Lith-ion. Lith-ion may not be the most promising technology possible, and even more efficient battery packs may emerge based on other technologies. After all, the target date for TerraLiner fabrication is 2018 - 2020, not 2015, and not 2010. It seems reasonable to bank on the possibility that if Proterra achieved 257 KW with a 750 lbs battery pack in 2015, then by 2020 the same battery weight should be delivering perhaps double that, at the "leading edge" of the market. Or that if the figure is more like 257 KW with a 2,721 kg battery bank composed of 8 extended-range packs, then by 2020 at least that figure might be cut in half, down to 1,360 kg, with 257 KW delivered by just 4 Proterra extended range battery packs.
And who knows, maybe even 1 hour of all-electric travel time is unnecessary? Even if Ian's 248 KW figure were accurate, perhaps to act as a successful peak-power buffer the battery pack still only needs to be 100 KW? And perhaps all-electric travel time only needs to be 1/2 an hour, or as little as 20 minutes?
There are a large number of variables in play here, and it's easy to construct an "alarmist" scenario because one assumes a value for one of the variables that one does not need to assume. I'd like to research MAN's Lion City Hybrid, for instance, to find out just how much all-electric run-time it has; how big the electric motors are; how big the diesel generator is; how big the battery bank is; how large a typical Lion City bus is; and how much it weighs. There are Lion City buses that are much longer "articulated" vehicles, in other words, "bendy buses" up to 18.75 m long -- see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MAN_Lion's_City . The 18.75 m buses do come in hybrid diesel-electric format. Although an articulated city bus is not an off-road motorhome, a bus of this kind would provide a much more accurate precedent regarding what the TerraLiner actually needs, and how the various variables should be optimally set. It would suggest the size of a battery pack sufficient for accelerating or climbing inclines, for instance.
I'd like to do the same research into the Volvo 7900 bus, in its hybrid version, and not its all-electric version. I am still not sure what would be the exact equivalent in IVECO hybrid technology, but here too, a hybrid bus should give us at least some base-line "realistic" variable to work with: motor size, generator size, battery size, all-electric run time, etc.
Right now I have to focus on other things. But if anyone wants to do the research and post it here, by all means, please do!!! For very comprehensive summaries of manufacturers of hybrid buses worldwide, see post #1911, at http://www.expeditionportal.com/for...igid-Torsion-Free-Frame?p=1959802#post1959802 . Still haven't uploaded all the pages in those PDFs to the thread (uploading PDF pages is particularly time-consuming), but the links to those two excellent PDFs are there in that post.
All best wishes,
Biotect
Assuming we cater for Ian's 450kw calculation on power requirements in LifePO4 running at full power (won't all the time, but makes for an interesting exercise).
Hi Joe,
I think Ian just recently revised his power estimate down to 248 KW. It would also be interesting to hear from Haf-E or egn, what their estimates might be, given the current TerraLiner specifications.
The only really useful calculation, would be what kind of battery bank would be necessary to serve as a "buffer" in fully serial hybrid mode. The TerraLiner is not intended as an all-electric vehicle, and it does not need to have an extended all-eletcric range. It only needs to be able to drive all-elecrtric for an hour or two at best, and perhaps even less than an hour?. The TerraLiner only needs the battery bank merely to act as a kind of "power reserve" when climbing inclines.
So right off the bat I would say that if 2 hours at 450 KW means an 11.6 ton battery bank, then 248 KW for 1 hour means a 3.1 ton battery bank. If 1 hour is enough, then that's what I'd go for. And if 30 minutes were enough, then I'd go for that instead. Furthermore, I'd want to investigate whether even lighter and more advanced Lith-Ion batteries are available.
I appreciate the value of purely theoretical exercises, but they can also have a rhetorical impact that leads to false conclusions. If someone reads "11 ton battery bank", and they don't realize that you were engaged in an extreme all-electric-for-two-hours sort of hypothetical exercise, they may conclude that thinking through a TerraLiner hybrid drive-train is not worthwhile. I think it is worthwhile, so if possible, it would be great if you might be wiling to run your numbers again for the parameters as stated in the following summary:
12 m long, 21 - 23 tons, 24 tons maximum, 6x6, two Jenoptik diesel generators producing 240 KW, and some size of battery bank, so that the TerraLiner might travel on electric power alone for 1 - 2 hours at most, perhaps as little as 20 - 30 minutes, and not more. Probably at least 90 % of the time or more the TerraLiner will be driving in full hybrid mode. Also, don't forget that the TerraLiner will also be towing a three-axle draw-bar trailer.
With that said, that sure was a really nifty set of calculations!!! It left my head spinning in quantitative bliss, and my heart laughing with auto-geek glee! :wings::wings:
Also: many, many thanks for playing the game of "argument and evidence" so tightly. Your post was packed with links, and all your reasoning was explicit and clear. Your post could serve as an exemplar for what all of the more "technical" or "engineering" posts should be like in this thread. Very, very much appreciated!!
*************************************************
Now even 3 tons sounds awfully high. I wonder how big the Wrightspeed battery bank is? Or I wonder how much the Proterra battery bank weighs, per KW?
Proterra claims that it has the most efficient battery bank on the market, so it would be interesting to rerun your calculations using Proterra's data as a starting point. See http://www.proterra.com , http://www.proterra.com/product-tech/product-specs/ , http://www.proterra.com/product-tech/product-portfolio/ , http://www.proterra.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Tearsheets_FastCharge.pdf , http://www.proterra.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Tearsheets_ExtendedRange.pdf , http://www.proterra.com/proterra-introduces-extended-range-electric-bus-flexible-battery-system/, https://chargedevs.com/newswire/pro...xr-battery-enables-ranges-of-up-to-180-miles/ , http://www.greencarcongress.com/2015/02/20150224-proterra.html , and http://gas2.org/2015/02/25/proterra-announces-extended-range-electric-bus-180-mile-range/.
Proterra is not very forthcoming with details in any of the above, but if you read the following PDF in particular, you'll see that it states that Proterra's extended range battery pack weighs 770 lbs -- see http://www.proterra.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Tearsheets_CatalystPlatform.pdf . Let's just assume for the sake of argument that Proterra's extended range battery pack, for this weight, will deliver 257 KW, because it's the same battery pack that was tested in the following video. It may not be, but let's just assume that it is:
The video does say that its current fast-charge battery pack delivers 100 KW, and we know from the PDF that the fast-charge battery pack weighs 524 lbs. For further discussion, see post #1918 at http://www.expeditionportal.com/for...igid-Torsion-Free-Frame?p=1959999#post1959999 .
So reasoning very simplistically, if Ian's 248 KW figure were correct, then two such Proterra battery packs should last two hours, and would weigh only 1540 lbs, or roughly 700 kg. Which is a lot less than 11 tons!!
However, here I am also assuming that the PDF, when it lists the weight for a battery pack for given size of bus, is describing the battery weight for a bus with a standard configuration of 8 battery packs. I am assuming that 750 lbs refers to the total weight of 8 packs combined. If instead it refers to the weight of just one battery pack, then 8 battery packs would weigh 6000 pounds, or 2,721 kilos, delivering 257 KW. That would still be better than 3.1 tons for 248 KW, but not that much better. There is some ambiguity in the PDF, and it's difficult to know for certain what is being stated.
In any case, the key when estimating battery pack size and weight for the TerraLiner is not to use the statistics on Lith-Ion batteries that are common, widely available, and that have technology that's 5 years old. Rather, the key is to seek out info about battery pack solutions at the very "cutting edge" of the market, and extrapolate from there. Note that Proterra's 257 KW extended range battery pack is nickel-magnesim, and not Lith-ion. Lith-ion may not be the most promising technology possible, and even more efficient battery packs may emerge based on other technologies. After all, the target date for TerraLiner fabrication is 2018 - 2020, not 2015, and not 2010. It seems reasonable to bank on the possibility that if Proterra achieved 257 KW with a 750 lbs battery pack in 2015, then by 2020 the same battery weight should be delivering perhaps double that, at the "leading edge" of the market. Or that if the figure is more like 257 KW with a 2,721 kg battery bank composed of 8 extended-range packs, then by 2020 at least that figure might be cut in half, down to 1,360 kg, with 257 KW delivered by just 4 Proterra extended range battery packs.
And who knows, maybe even 1 hour of all-electric travel time is unnecessary? Even if Ian's 248 KW figure were accurate, perhaps to act as a successful peak-power buffer the battery pack still only needs to be 100 KW? And perhaps all-electric travel time only needs to be 1/2 an hour, or as little as 20 minutes?
There are a large number of variables in play here, and it's easy to construct an "alarmist" scenario because one assumes a value for one of the variables that one does not need to assume. I'd like to research MAN's Lion City Hybrid, for instance, to find out just how much all-electric run-time it has; how big the electric motors are; how big the diesel generator is; how big the battery bank is; how large a typical Lion City bus is; and how much it weighs. There are Lion City buses that are much longer "articulated" vehicles, in other words, "bendy buses" up to 18.75 m long -- see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MAN_Lion's_City . The 18.75 m buses do come in hybrid diesel-electric format. Although an articulated city bus is not an off-road motorhome, a bus of this kind would provide a much more accurate precedent regarding what the TerraLiner actually needs, and how the various variables should be optimally set. It would suggest the size of a battery pack sufficient for accelerating or climbing inclines, for instance.
I'd like to do the same research into the Volvo 7900 bus, in its hybrid version, and not its all-electric version. I am still not sure what would be the exact equivalent in IVECO hybrid technology, but here too, a hybrid bus should give us at least some base-line "realistic" variable to work with: motor size, generator size, battery size, all-electric run time, etc.
Right now I have to focus on other things. But if anyone wants to do the research and post it here, by all means, please do!!! For very comprehensive summaries of manufacturers of hybrid buses worldwide, see post #1911, at http://www.expeditionportal.com/for...igid-Torsion-Free-Frame?p=1959802#post1959802 . Still haven't uploaded all the pages in those PDFs to the thread (uploading PDF pages is particularly time-consuming), but the links to those two excellent PDFs are there in that post.
All best wishes,
Biotect
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